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Obvious With Hindsight

12 November, 2011 by James Lawther 1 Comment

A rather unhelpful phrase

It implies that you are pointing out the obvious

But sometimes the obvious is really worth pointing out

Sometimes the obvious is only obvious once it has been pointed out

Here is an example for you…

Bread Trend

The graph shows the number of Google searches for the term “bread”

A dip in the summer

Two spikes in November and Christmas

Why would anybody get excited about bread in November?

Halloween? No, that’s October

Bonfire Night?  Guy Fawkes wasn’t known for his bread making ability

November… Bread… English… Google… Americans…

Thanksgiving!

When else would you Google bread?

Obvious really

Unless you are an English boy who doesn’t know one end of a turkey from another

Things are only obvious with hindsight if you use hindsight

And the easiest way to use hindsight is to draw a graph of the things that are important to you

Hindsight, are you using it?

Thanksgiving

Listen to another opinion

Image by bcmom

Filed Under: Blog, Operations Analysis Tagged With: data presentation, six sigma, time series plot, trend analysis, visual management

About the Author

James Lawther
James Lawther

James Lawther is a middle-aged, middle manager.

To reach this highly elevated position he has worked in numerous industries, from supermarket retailing to tax collecting.  He has had several operational roles, including running the night shift in a frozen pea packing factory and carrying out operational research for a credit card company.

As you can see from his C.V. he has either a wealth of experience or is incapable of holding down a job.  If the latter is true this post isn’t worth a minute of your attention.

Unfortunately, the only way to find out is to read it and decide for yourself.

www.squawkpoint.com/

Comments

  1. maz iqbal says

    26 November, 2011 at 6:46 pm

    Hello James

    Great point, I came across exactly the same situation on a recent consulting assignment. The data was there and yet the obvious (embedded in the data) only became obvious when pointed out.

    That is also why I say that data is useless – it is only when a human being takes data interprets it and tells a enticing story that gets the attention of the right people that you get action. And action is the only thing that affects performance.

    Maz

    Reply

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